Two good-but-not-great teams playing an uncompetitive game with an unforgettable MVP? For a team with quarterback uncertainty, it could be much worse. Going 7-2 in one-score games last year will regress. Odell Beckham makes a highly anticipated return to a passing game that includes Jarvis Landry and an emerging Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Chark will help Lawrence out immensely, especially with James Robinson, Carlos Hyde, and Travis Etienne capable of creating a balanced rushing attack. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. It's all about the schedule. Bart Starr won MVP with only 13 completions. The game that gave us all of those 28-3 jokes. Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. In a 17-game slate, the division matters that much less compared to strength of schedule. They had a top 5 offense and defense. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. Adding Marvin Jones to a young receiving unit that already includes Laviska Shenault Jr. and D.J. The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. This team is just two years removed from the AFC Championship Game and is in position to "win now." Its the only Super Bowl where a member of the losing team won MVP. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at Brown (+1800) Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+2200) DeVonta Smith, WR, Eagles (+3000) Haason Reddick, LB, Eagles (+3000) Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+4000) Article. So their overall grade suffered. A smart strategy? A 97 team that wasn't top 10 in anything really. 1 pick, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing eight years in prison, Commanders rip 'blatantly false' team sale report, Last Super Bowl appearance: 2016 (Super Bowl 50), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2017 (Super Bowl LI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1990 (Super Bowl XXIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1995 (Super Bowl XXIX), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1977 (Super Bowl XI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2009 (Super Bowl XLIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2000 (Super Bowl XXXIV), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1994 (Super Bowl XXVIII). Zaven Collins has strong NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year capabilities and Isaiah Simmons is expected to take a huge step in his second year. Theyre basically the 2020 Patriots, who lost a Hall of Fame QB, had a ton of opt-outs defensively (the Saints lost five key contributors to free agency), and have no receivers (given the Michael Thomas surgery). ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | Which is a shame, because this 11-4-1 team had a defense that was really impressive throughout the year. Los Angeles is going to score points this year. 6. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. The Chiefs rank No. Green Bay looked as if it would blow the Steelers out but Ben Roethlisberger led a rally that cut the lead from 18 to three before Mason Crosby put the game away with a field goal. 5 offense. Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. According to statistics, the 2011 New York Giants. Which is funny considering the team they beat, the 2011 Patriots, would have also been the worst This should have been a great game. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. This team just wasn't ready yet. The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. Therefore, designating Garoppolo as the starter seemed the safer choice. Mahomes becomes the first quarterback to win the regular-season NFL most-valuable-player award and the Super Bowl in the same season in 23 years. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. Sam Darnold cannot go from worst QB in the NFL (by some metrics) to winning the Super Bowl in twelve months. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. Will this be the first time for everything?. 16. The Bengals should be better, but they aren't close to competing for a championship yet -- especially residing in the AFC North. Trent Dilfer. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. Jalen Hurts will not pull a FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense Its more fun to speculate on the Bears QB race than it is their actual Super Bowl chances., 24. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. The game lacked memorable moments but is significant because it was Elways last. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. A.J. Yes, the New York Giants knocked off the 18-0 New England Patriots. Chicago Bears +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total). Houston Texans +20000 (bet $10 to win $2010 total), Lowest win total on the board, uncertainty at QB, and a defense that cant stop a nose bleed.. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. The game did not feature nearly as dramatic an ending as the rest of the top-10, but it was a game full of Hall of Famers all playing at a high level. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. The Bucs, despite not being quite on Kansas City's level, remain the favorite in the NFC and are the only other team to cross double digits in terms of chances to win the Super Bowl. Arizona still needs more help in the secondary, but defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has man-cover corners to fit his scheme. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. The Buffalo Bills are coming off their first conference championship game appearance since 1993 while the Cleveland Browns won their first playoff game since 1995. What should have been a great quarterback matchup Marino vs. Montana turned into a blowout as the Dolphins gunslinger couldnt keep up with the 49ers surgeon. Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. Malcolm Butlers game-winning interception remains the best ending in Super Bowl history. The team had a 142 record and the best offense in the league averaging about 34 points per game, Joe Theismann and Jon Riggins were stars. Granted, having Simms on the field would have undoubtedly bolstered the Giants offensive attack in the postseason, but this is not a countdown of "what ifs" and "should have beens.". Oh, and they had Terrell Owens, who was a superstar. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. And no one has it rougher than the Bears in 2021. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. To show you how wildly that fluctuates, in those categories the year before, Miami ranked 29th, 24th, and 27th.. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. NFL fans would have to get used that kind of ending. That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. Not having Wentz is certainly a downgrade: FPI's predictive quarterback rating system believes backup Jacob Eason's mean projected season is roughly on par with Wentz's (poor) 2020 campaign. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. Atlanta Falcons +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total), New coach, new offensive coordinator just too much newness for me., That being said, going 2-8 in one-score games last year was a killer, and if the ball bounces differently in 2021, maybe theyre hovering around .500. Complete team-by-team FPI projections WebTechnically the truth. Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. Dan Marino's lone Super Bowl and this team was his best shot. Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Their win total is 8.5, yet Mike Tomlin has never finished under .500 as coach of the Steelers. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. The wild card is first-time head coach Brandon Staley, who probably is an upgrade over Anthony Lynn but hes only been in the NFL since 2017, so how could anyone say for sure? The AFL just wasn't ready yet, but they were still very good for AFL standards with an 11-2-1 record. 14. Were on a run of blowouts now. Matt Stafford, on the other hand, is learning a new offense, albeit with a smart coach and talented skill players. BUT this 14-2 Atlanta Falcons team was no slouch. Here are the 10 teams most likely to win Super Bowl LV: Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay is still not that likely, however. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. 28. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. They took down what was supposed to be the greatest team in NFL history and instead became one of the least likely Super Bowl champions in recent memory. But a lot of credit needs to be given to running backs Ickey Woods and James Brooks, who both combined for 1,997 yards and 29 touchdowns. To handle the uncertainty in the timing of Wentz's return, FPI gives the QB a very small chance to play in Week 1 and gradually increases the chance of his return until Week 8 -- spanning the range of the recovery timeline laid out last week by coach Frank Reich. After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. This contest was more important than nearly any other as it asserted the AFL's legitimacy as a league and proved it could contend with the NFL year in and year out. Bradshaw would go on to complete just 67 passes for 785 yards, seven touchdowns and eight interceptions in his limited action. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. The Titans thrust themselves into Super Bowl contention with the offseason addition of Julio Jones, a massive upgrade over departed free agent Corey Davis. That's right, a team with Jerry Rice had a running back gain more receiving yards. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. QB | RB | WR | TE To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. Brett Favre had 35 passing touchdowns and Dorsey Levens ran for 1,435 yards. Philly was actually favored before the game, but Oakland made the betting line look silly early on, getting out to a 21-3 lead. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. The Doomsday Defense vs. the Orange Crush ended up being a forgettable, one-sided affair. 22. 1 pick. The model gains confidence because of all of the returning starters from an already good unit. Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. Sure, but it did not make for an entertaining game up until the end. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. Finishing 133 and a high-energy offense by Sean McVay, the Rams were a force to be reckoned with. He's a key piece in guiding Tennessee to its first championship. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. The NFL regular season begins in just days. Jim Plunkett, a 33-year-old signal-caller at the time, was plucked off the bench early in the season and was the catalyst for the team making the playoffs, but even he only threw 18 touchdowns compared to 16 interceptions. Defensively, they were 22nd in points scored against, and it showed in the Super Bowl. 20. 32. It featured the great comeback, the only overtime in Super Bowl history, not one but two spectacular catches and a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs. 15. 51. Along with quarterback Earl Morrall, the Colts defense was the best in the league, only giving up 10.3 points per game. A 142 record with the seventh best defense in points scored against in the league. A 124 record and a solid defense? But the Super Bowl? All Rights Reserved. Dick Vermeil's boys just missed out on the Lombardi Trophy with one bad day. We hold major institutions accountable and expose wrongdoing. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. 29 and 30. Unsung, their defense only allowed 17.1 points per game. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Twenty-two women have said in lawsuits that Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior during massage sessions. 20 David Tyree: 2008 Giants Known for his improbable catch in the Super Bowl and how it essentially won the Giants the game, it also hasn't been lost that Tyree was just a mediocre player at best, at any point during his career. It did earn him a bunch of money. A crummy game turned into an instant classic thanks to a brilliant game-winning drive authored by Joe Montana. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. Miami Dolphins +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), Miami led the NFL in two categories that they are unlikely to duplicate: takeaways (29) and 3rd down defense (31%); they were also seventh in red zone defense. That decision is based on two factors: Garoppolo is generally believed to be the favorite over rookie No. 13. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. Despite the memorable moments, this game was a bit of a letdown with two Hall of Fame quarterbacks not putting on the offensive show we expected. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. 9. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. W. 23-20. Kam Chancellor should have been MVP. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Had Rodgers simply decided to retire rather than suit up, Green Bay's chances to make the playoffs would have dropped from 70% to 24%, and their Super Bowl chances would have dropped from 6% to 0.2%. Id say so, yes.. Give them five years to become a dynasty. FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. It has happened 8 times to 7 different teams. Interestingly enough, not only has no team won 3 in a row, not a single team has ever made it back to Maybe the most controversial one on the list. This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. We cant put a Super Bowl featuring Rex Grossman too high on the list, but Peyton Manning winning his first ring salvages this one. A better offensive line will help Cousins out immensely, especially with playmakers like Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielenand Irv Smith. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley was awarded that honor (one that he refused to accept). Cleveland hasn't been in a position to win a Super Bowl since Bernie Kosar led the franchise to consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances in the mid-1980s. Wait, Dilfer isn't iconic. Quick, use one word to describe Super Bowl XL in Detroit. Just how goofy was this game? A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. 3. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance 55) Super Bowl XLVIII (2013) The 2013 Seahawks were able to take advantage of this game to solidify themselves as an all-time NFL defense. Nobody has a tougher September schedule: vs Seattle, vs the Rams, at Tennessee, at Miami, at Baltimore. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. New York Giants +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The market doesnt like the Giants, but they were 9-5 ATS as an underdog last year. Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. Ah, the iconic image of Trent Dilfer hoisting his arms in victory. The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on every show on the network. The AFC is considerably tougher than the NFC. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. section: | slug: ranking-12-teams-that-never-won-a-super-bowl-by-best-chance-to-win-title-in-2021-high-hopes-in-buffalo | sport: football | route: article_single.us | Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. The Jaguars are going to be better than the 1-15 team that played last year, and could actually contend for eight or nine wins if the defense becomes a top 20 unit (ranked 31st in points and yards allowed in 2020). Between free agency and players opting back in from 2020, New England had a massive talent infusion.. They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. Unfortunately, they lost both starting tackles for the Super Bowl and could not stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beast-mode pass rush. This isn't entirely a reflection on them, though FPI is never particularly bullish on rookie quarterbacks.
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